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Mediation or Smoke-Screen? (here)




Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2008 17:23:12 -0400
To: "Dorothy Toth Beasley" <beasleydt@bellsouth.net>
From: Holliday Dental <teeth@mindspring.com>
Subject: Forest Hill Road mediation - our response to March 25th - MAAI
  -   


Dear Judge Beasley,
 
We are hereby submitting our technical response (Chellman's 3-29-08 letter)
http://www.macon-bibb.com/FHR/Forest_Hill_Road_Observations_Chellman.pdf
to MAAI, along with a cover letter -
http://www.macon-bibb.com/FHR/FHR_Neighborhood_Representatives20080331.rtf
- asking for clarification about our engineering concerns.  Please forward them to the proper people.
 
We want to make sure that all of our conversations with you about GDOT remain confidential between the neighborhood representatives and you.
 
We want to make sure that there is no misunderstanding about Mr. Chellman’s statements in his letter.  After our conversation, we felt like there were still some concerns (criticisms of MAAI) that we couldn't satisfactorily explain to you.  He can do a better job than we can about explaining his statements and how important they are to the mediation process.  If you would call him, at your convenience, he can clarify his letter for you (without any references to the 100 ways of skinning cats). 
Mr. Chellman’s contact information is:
 
Chester "Rick" Chellman, P.E.
Principal
TND Engineering
430 Richards Avenue
Portsmouth, NH USA 03801
www.TNDEngineering.com
603-373-8651 (Office)
603-479-7195 (Mobile)
877-299-6212 (Fax)


Thank-you,
The Neighborhood Representatives





Chellmans pdf (here)


   TND ENGINEERING
TRAFFIC, TND, TRANSPORTATION AND CONSULTING

430 RICHARDS AVENUE
PORTSMOUTH, NH 03801
603.373-8651 603.986.6007 EMAIL: Chellman@TNDEngineering.com
www.TNDEngineering.com

Dr. Lindsay Holliday April 5, 2008
Forest Hill Road Mediation Group
VIA EMAIL ONLY: teeth@mindspring.com

Re: Forest Hill Road (FHR)

Dear Lindsay:

I would like to offer your group some thoughts and additional analysis regarding FHR
traffic and geometry.

I am concerned that the County’s latest response demonstrates that they apparently
misunderstood the latest proposal for what I have termed “upper” FHR. I note this
because they continue to include the same cross section I drew when I was in Macon,
and not the most recent sketch we forwarded. If you look in the lower left of the latest
attachment of “Residents Drawing No. 1”, you will see it was created on March 04, and
is the identical attachment to the first reply.

Traffic Volumes And Projections

I have revisited this thorny matter in two ways: 2000 to 2007; and, 1992 to 2007. Only
lower FHR South of Wimbish shows an upward trendline for both analysis scenarios.1

I have attached only the “FHR Traffic.pdf” file, because it does show some growth in
traffic volumes for the 15 years and 16 data points from 1992 to 2007. Again, if one
analyzes only the seven years and eight data points from 2000 to 2007, upper Wimbish
shows no growth as a trend-this is important to remember when I revisit the potential
realignment matter below.

Using the longer time period projects future traffic volume increases of approximately
14% for the highest and lowest volume portions of FHR (these being counters 445 and
447), and 12% for the area around counter 449.

1 So that my methodology may be understood, all of my analysis of the traffic counts has been accomplished inMicrosoft’s Excel program. When a chart is created in excel, the software can calculate and place a trendline in thechart, this is not subject to discretion or interpretation, and hence is less likely to introduce error.

PUBLIC PARTICIPATION . TRAFFIC CALMING. ZONING . STREETS . ENGINEERING

Planning for the Future with the Technology of Today and the Lessons of the Past





The data shows 2024 projections to be 16,900 for lower FHR with additional future 2024
projections of 12,600 and 10,400 for the other sections. These compare with GaDOT
projections of: 22,000 to 25,000; 21,300 and 15,650, respectively.

Stated differently and plainly: if a fair projection of the data from 1992 to 2007 is done,
the results show the GaDOT projections to overstate the probable future results by 39%
for lower FHR and 55% for upper FHR. These are huge differences and plainly show
the need to revisit the fundamental assumptions about how FHR should be configured.

A reduced copy of the chart is here, below, the trend lines are black:
Cross Section Details

At the Macon Mediation, I proposed, and your group accepted, a proposal for upper
FHR that was for two eleven-foot travel lanes with five-foot shoulders with an urban curb
(pavement flush to face of curb on both sides of the street); a 32’ curb-to-curb proposal
(I am going to limit my comments here to the curb-to-curb issue only, as their appears to
be agreement beyond the face of curb).

In the first reply, the County’s representative(s) offered to reduce their proposed 38’ plus
2’ gutter pans, or 42’ curb-to-curb (hereafter, c-c) dimension to a 36’ c-c with the urban
curb.

The County’s most recent proposal-still in response to the Macon mediation day
sketch, not the latest offer by your group, is a 32’ +2’+2’ gutter pan rural section with a
36’ c-c. Both of the County’s proposals have included a center two-way left turn lane
and no shoulders.

PUBLIC PARTICIPATION . TRAFFIC CALMING. ZONING . STREETS . ENGINEERING

Planning for the Future with the Technology of Today and the Lessons of the Past





So that it is clear and in one letter, here are the two most recent proposals offered to the
County:


11’ lanes beside 6’ shoulders will definitely afford a slow deceleration area for right-
turning cars, and enough room for cars to pass left-turning cars at slower and more
appropriate speeds for a residential neighborhood (also see additional AASHTO
support, below).

I recognize that this proposal goes “outside” the agreed area by including lower FHR,
but for me the significant errors in the future traffic volume projections, coupled with
the possible realignment of FHR and Wimbish compel the additional diagram.

I take strong exception with any and all statements that any of the proposals that I have
put forth have been “unsafe”, as an professional engineer licensed by the State of
Georgia, I very much have public safety uppermost in mind with all of my proposals. I
would also like to note that the proposals I have drawn are identical to what I would
have proposed if the County had hired me.

PUBLIC PARTICIPATION . TRAFFIC CALMING. ZONING . STREETS . ENGINEERING

Planning for the Future with the Technology of Today and the Lessons of the Past



April 5, 2008 4 of 5


We can debate whether a high-speed road in a residential area is safer or not, and a
center turn lane road certainly will afford higher speeds than either of the proposals I
have offered.

However, the County’s drawings: provide no shoulder or a tiny gutter pan buffer
between moving cars and the curb; provide no space for bicyclists except within the flow
of traffic (which, at 45 mph and above will not feel comfortable for even class A
bicyclists); and provide no space for a broken down vehicle-except in a high speed
roadway.

I am disappointed and perplexed that the latest reply notes that a reduction in the
design speed “from 45 mph to 35 mph is not reasonable at this late date (emphasis
added)”.

As I pointed out in my brief presentation in Macon, when pedestrians are considered,
below 35 mph is a less than lethal speed for vehicles traveling through a residential
area. Vehicles traveling at 45 mph and above will assure fatalities in the event there is
a collision with a pedestrian.

I think the proposed three-lane section, with the addition of shoulders, is more
appropriate for lower FHR, while the two-lane section, again with shoulders, will function
more appropriately for upper FHR.

I have also attached a brief Appendix discussing the optional realignment of FHR,
Wimbish and Northminster. I believe such a change would make the proposed cross
sections work even better.

AASHTO Guidance

The American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO)
publishes the most widely-accepted design guide for highways and streets with it’s A
Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets, popularly known as the “Green
Book”, and most recently published in 2004.

In my experience, the County’s proposed three-lane section with its two-way left turn
lane for upper FHR is very unusual for that context1 and, in my opinion, would not be as
appropriate as the proposal diagrammed above with shoulders. On this topic,
AASHTO states: “[i]n general, two-way left turn lanes should only be used in an
urban setting where operating speeds are relatively low”.2

1 This sort of design is more often seen in mostly commercial settings.
2 AASHTO, A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets, Washington, DC, 2004 pg. 713.


PUBLIC PARTICIPATION . TRAFFIC CALMING. ZONING . STREETS . ENGINEERING

Planning for the Future with the Technology of Today and the Lessons of the Past



April 5, 2008 5 of 5


With respect to shoulders, AASHTO lists too many benefits for me to quote, so I have
inserted a scanned listing (from page 314 of the Green Book):


It is my hope that these additional quotes from the Green Book will give MAAI pause to
reconsider both design speed and cross section details.

There is yet the chance to get all of this right, and I strongly urge the County’s
representatives to reconsider these important matters once again.

Respectfully submitted,

TND Engineering


Chester “Rick” Chellman, P.E.,
Principal

PUBLIC PARTICIPATION . TRAFFIC CALMING. ZONING . STREETS . ENGINEERING

Planning for the Future with the Technology of Today and the Lessons of the Past



 




- Carol Lystlund <CLystlund@AtlanticSouthernBank.com>
730 Forest Hill Rd.
Macon 31210

 - Lindsay Holliday <teeth@mindspring.com>
744 Forest Hill Rd.
Macon 31210

- Susan Hanberry Martin <shanberry@stratford.org>
4831 Guerry Drive
Macon 31210

 - Dan Fischer <FISCHER_DP@Mercer.edu>
489 Ashville Drive
Macon 31210

- Alice Boyd <dmbx1@cox.net>
540 Forest Hill Rd
Macon 31210



 



 



 





This webpage originates from some of the Mediators for the Friends of Forest Hill Road in Macon , Georgia.  It contains information which may be confidential or privileged and is intended only for the individuals or entity named above.  It is prohibited for anyone to disclose, copy, distribute, or use the contents of this webpage.  All personal messages are the express views of Concerned American Citizens and Taxpayers, and nothing here may be copied or distributed without their specific and individual permissions. 

If you reached this webpage or this message in error, please notify me immediately - Lindsay Holliday <teeth@mindspring.com> 478-742-8699 


 




 

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