From: "Ford, Clinton" <cford@dot.ga.gov>
To: "'teeth@mindspring.com'" <teeth@mindspring.com>
CC: "Hilliard, Bobby" <bhilliard@dot.ga.gov>
Date: Tue, 31 Aug 2010 11:44:27 -0400
Subject: FW: Forest Hill Road - Traffic Counts - AADTs are mixed in with
  "Actual Counts"

 
Mr. Holiday,
 
Below is the response that was sent to your inquiry.
 
 
 
The traffic counts shown in the attached "KEEPLER7.JPG" are estimated traffic counts taken from GDOT's 2000 annual publication of "Traffic Counts Macon-Bibb County". These counts were presented in the EA of 2001. Due to the public concerns regarding the accuracy of the projected traffic volumes, actual tube counts were taken in December of 2001 (see table 2 of the attached document). The "revised counts" were developed by averaging the estimated counts for 2000 and the actual counts taken in December of 2001. The updated traffic counts are shown in the attached "KEEPLER2.JPG" for the year 2000.
 
 
The count station locations are as follows:
 
Station 445 - Forest Hill Road between Overlook Ave and Wimbish Road.
Station 447 - Forest Hill Road between Forest Hill Terrace and Lokchapee Dr
Station 449 - Forest Hill Road between Lokchapee Dr and Northside Dr 
 
 

 

 

From: Holliday Dental [ mailto:teeth@mindspring.com]

Sent: Monday, January 25, 2010 6:57 PM

To: Rountree, Bill

Subject: Forest Hill Road - Traffic Counts - AADTs are mixed in with "Actual Counts"

 

 Bill Rountree, P..E.

District 3 Preconstruction Engineer

Work: 706-646-6987

 

Dear Mr Rountree,

 

Per our conversation this evening about Traffic Counts for the Forest Hill Rd project in Macon-Bibb:

There are 3 examples where I can show that Moreland's Company, MAAI, has mixed GDOT's AADTs with something Moreland is calling "Actual Counts".  These "Actual Counts" are inflated over the AADTs that were available to Moreland if they had chosen to use a consistent framework.  The result of this [impropriety] is a much steeper Traffic Projection.

Of the 3 examples,

I am only sending you the 1st example from 2001.  It consists of 5 .jpg scans:

keepler1.jpg

KEEPLER2.jpg

KEEPLER3.jpg

Keepler7.jpg

Keepler10.jpg

Of these scans, KEEPLER2.jpg shows a table with a heading "Actual Recorded Traffic" with (4) columns for the years 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000.   AADTs were used in the 1st three columns.  But the Traffic Counts in the last column (2000) is not AADTs according to the table on Keepler7.jpg

Keepler7.jpg shows the 2000 AADTs to be:

13,080 instead of Moreland's 14,500, and

8,570 instead of Moreland's  9,150, and

10,760 instead of Moreland's 11,600.. 

Moreland's propensity to inflate numbers in (only) the last column tends to give an observer the mistaken impression of higher future traffic projections.

This same Modus Operandi was used in the last EA with the 2007 "Actual Counts" - resulting with the same misdirection.

Please let me know is you need me to scan and email the other examples.

Thank-you,

- Lindsay D Holliday

MATS-CAC vice chair